Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.132724 1.321872 1.532467 1.784295 2.077257 2.407364 2.807664
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.827028 1.077699 1.388368 1.801604 2.337015 3.007656 3.912359
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.634148 0.893764 1.240955 1.739041 2.435609 3.375996 4.744038
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.561840 0.843870 1.245031 1.856925 2.767255 4.073030 6.092237
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.464291 0.736940 1.146063 1.804171 2.837162 4.398718 6.944553
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.387806 0.646726 1.054288 1.741814 2.873941 4.667491 7.732954
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.329224 0.574388 0.977526 1.687766 2.909550 4.929654 8.534256
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.296817 0.539893 0.956037 1.719162 3.085927 5.436538 9.800710
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.282329 0.533888 0.981036 1.832204 3.414968 6.238698 11.678540
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.261244 0.512505 0.975258 1.887768 3.645845 6.892795 13.369958
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.238992 0.485519 0.955125 1.912720 3.820852 7.462631 14.971952
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.215735 0.453130 0.920127 1.903355 3.926507 7.910630 16.389240
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.194588 0.422716 0.886304 1.894407 4.037095 8.392071 17.959754
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.178377 0.400475 0.866369 1.911979 4.205887 9.014265 19.911597
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.156864 0.363591 0.810781 1.845567 4.186378 9.241690 21.048434
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.153298 0.366269 0.840625 1.970631 4.602357 10.449291 24.500478
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.136557 0.336121 0.793535 1.914664 4.601289 10.738191 25.904630
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.121184 0.307023 0.744981 1.848507 4.567153 10.946579 27.145844
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.108203 0.281930 0.702539 1.791166 4.546088 11.181565 28.480117
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.101862 0.272678 0.697130 1.824476 4.752120 11.983052 31.317487
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.100609 0.276440 0.724449 1.944404 5.192550 13.411775 35.931914
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.096206 0.271196 0.728168 2.003352 5.482612 14.498243 39.798936
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.090611 0.261907 0.720137 2.029824 5.689780 15.396525 43.282058